NFL Best Bets – Week 9
All game lines are from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
This will be updated throughout the week as new plays are posted.
On November 3, 2021:
The Line: Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 – Sunday, 4:25 PM (ET)
The Pick: Packers +7.5 (-110)
QB Jordan Love gets his first start for Aaron Rodgers (COVID), but otherwise, the Packers are coming back healthy at the skill positions with the expected return of WRs Davante Adams, Allen Lazard, and Marquez Valdez-Scantling. Love will get in a full week of practice due to the early news break.
The Chiefs are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 games and will be on a short week.
On November 4, 2021:
The Line: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts Over/Under: 45 – Thursday, 8:20 PM (ET)
The Pick: Under 45 (-105)
The Colts play at the 2nd slowest situation neutral pace and 3rd slowest with a 7+ point lead. The Jets play at the 7th slowest situation neutral pace and 15th slowest pace when behind by 7+ points. The under is 6-0 in the last six Thursday games, and the Colts are coming off a divisional OT win.
The Line: Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys -10 – Sunday, 1:00 PM (ET)
The Pick: Cowboys -10 (-105)
The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS on the season, and 5-0 ATS in their previous five home games. The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
QB Dak Prescott (ankle) is expected to return. Defensively, the Broncos will be compromised at all three levels. Edge Von Miller was traded to the Rams, both starting interior LBs are out (uptick for Elliott and Pollard), and slot CB Callahan (knee) was placed on IR. The Cowboys, with offensive advantages vs. the run and pass, have multiple avenues to cover.
The Line: Buffalo Bills -14.5 at Jacksonville Jaguars – Sunday, 1:00 PM (ET)
The Pick: Bills -14.5 (-105)
The Bills are 13-4-1 ATS in their previous 18 games and QB Josh Allen is 15-6-2 ATS on the road. The Jaguars are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
The Bills already have two blowout, shutouts this season, with a 35-0 win at Miami, and a 40-0 win against the Texans. This game profiles very similarly with the Bills dominating in every which way, against a top two league-worst team.
On November 5, 2021:
The Line: Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers -2.5 – Sunday, 1:00 PM (ET)
The Pick: 49ers -2.5 (-110)
QB Kyler Murray (ankle) is looking like a game-time decision, WR DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) hasn’t practiced all week getting the questionable tag, and WR A.J. Green (COVID) will likely miss. DE J.J. Watt (shoulder) is also out for the year. If Murray can’t go, 35 year old Colt McCoy is the backup. The 49ers are getting TE George Kittle (calf) back.
The Line: Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Rams -7 – Sunday, 8:20 PM (ET)
The Pick: Rams -7 (-110)
The Titans’ offensive focal point RB Derrick Henry (Lisfranc), and RB Darrynton Evans (knee) have been placed on IR. Receiving back Jeremy McNichols is now expected to lead the backfield. The Rams acquired DE Von Miller via trade and will make his debut. The Rams are 7-3 ATS over their last ten games against teams with a winning record.
Scorecard: NFL Best Bets
Last Week: 2-2
Cumulative: 17-15
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