NFL Week 8 DFS Defense Value Picks
NFL Week 8: October 24 – 28, 2019
We’ll provide some details and insights on some of the potential top daily fantasy defense/special team value plays for week 8.
Salary ranks are based on the main-slate Sunday only (12 games).
Betting lines are as of the time of this writing.
Updates will be made as new info comes to light.
Seattle Seahawks – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 2800 (5.6% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 4900 (8.17% of cap). The Seahawks’ salary ranks them 10th/3rd on DK/FD, respectively, making them a better relative value on DK.
The betting line with the Falcons (1-6) has the game total at 53.5 points (highest on the board) with the Seahawks (5-2) as -3.5 point road favorites. The Seahawks’ implied team total is currently at 28.5 points and the Falcons are currently at 25 points.
Against Baltimore last week, the Seahawks’ defense logged 1 sack while giving up 18 offensive points. At Atlanta last week, the Rams’ defense recorded 5 sacks, 1 pick, 2 fumble recoveries with one returned for a TD, and held the Falcons to 10 points, good for a DST3 finish.
The Falcons toss up the 5th (tied) most picks with 8, allow the 10th most sacks with 19, and allow the 9th most fantasy points to opposing defenses. QB Matt Ryan (ankle) could miss this week, leaving Matt Schaub (14 career pick-sixes) with the potential start. Atlanta also traded WR Mo Sanu to New England.
DT Jarran Reed returns from suspension this week. Seattle’s defense ranks 6th (tied) in takeaways with 12. With Atlanta’s season imploding, the Seahawks are in a nice spot with an implied positive-script, to force Schaub’s hand.
Indianapolis Colts – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 2900 (5.8% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 4800 (8% of cap). The Colts’ salary ranks them 8th/4th on DK/FD, respectively.
The betting line with the Broncos (2-5) has the game total at 44 points with the Colts (4-2) as -6 point home favorites. The Colts’ implied team total is currently at 25 points and the Broncos are currently at 19 points.
Against the Texans last week, the Colts’ defense logged 3 sacks, 2 picks, a safety, and gave up 23 points. The Chiefs’ defense registered 9 sacks, a fumble recovery returned for a TD, and held the Broncos to 6 points last week, good for 24 fantasy points and a DST2 finish.
The Broncos give up the 4th (tied) most sacks with 24, and the 10th most fantasy points to opposing defenses. Denver’s O-line ranks 29th in adjusted sack rate vs. the Colts’ D-line which ranks 11th. The Broncos also traded WR Emmanuel Sanders to the 49ers. The Colts have a prime matchup against a bad Denver offense ranked 29th in scoring and 25th in yards.
Tennesee Titans – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3200 (6.4% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 4600 (7.67% of cap). The Titans’ salary ranks them 6th/6th on DK/FD, respectively.
The betting line with the Bucs (2-4) has the game total at 45.5 points with the Titans (3-4) as -2.5 point home favorites. The Titans’ implied team total is currently at 24 points and the Bucs are currently at 21.5 points. Tampa Bay is coming off their bye.
Against the Chargers last week, the Titans’ defense logged 1 sack, 1 fumble recovery, and allowed 20 points. At Tampa Bay in week 6, Carolina’s defense logged 7 sacks, 5 picks, 2 recovered fumbles, and allowed 26 points, good for 21 fantasy points and a DST3 finish.
Tampa Bay tosses up the 2nd (tied) most interceptions with 10, gives up the 3rd most sacks with 25, and allows the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing defenses. Tampa Bay’s O-line ranks 27th in adjusted sack rate vs. the Titans’ D-line which ranks 14th. The Titans’ defense also ranks 9th (tied) in sacks with 19 and 12th in fantasy points scored.
Tampa Bay is the gift that keeps on giving, while a solid Titans’ DST awaits at home.
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