NFL Week 7 DFS Defense Value Picks
NFL Week 7: October 22 – 26, 2020
We’ll provide some details and insights on some of the potential top daily fantasy defense/special team value plays for week 7.
Salary ranks are based on the main-slate Sunday only.
Betting lines are as of the time of this writing.
Updates will be made as new info comes to light.
Defense
Washington Football Team – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 2500 (5% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 3800 (6.3% of cap). Washington’s salary ranks them 16th/13th on DK/FD, respectively.
The betting line with the Cowboys has the game total at 46 points, with Washington as +1 point home dogs. Washington’s implied team total is currently at 22.5 points and the Cowboys are currently at 23.5 points.
Washington’s defense registered 1 sack, 1 interception, and gave up 14 offensive points to the Giants last week.
The Cardinals’ defense logged 3 sacks, 2 interceptions, 2 fumble recoveries, and allowed 10 points at Dallas last week.
Washington’s defense ranks 3rd in adjusted sack rate vs. a Cowboys’ offense which ranks 11th. Washington’s defense also ranks 4th (tied) in interceptions (7).
The Cowboys rank 21st vs. defenses in fantasy points allowed and cough up the most turnovers (15). In QB Andy Dalton’s 5.5 quarters of play since taking over for Dak Prescott, he’s logged 1 TD, 3 TOs, and taken 4 sacks.
The Cowboys O-line, already missing both starting tackles and center, had RG Zack Martin (concussion) leave last night’s game. He is currently in the protocol. This O-line should continue to be a target for opposing defenses. As this team may be on the verge of a meltdown, Washington could capitalize if it all hits the fan this week.
UPDATE:
RG Zack Martin (concussion) has been ruled out.
Cleveland Browns – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 2800 (5.6% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 4700 (7.8% of cap). The Browns’ salary ranks them 12th/3rd on DK/FD, respectively, making them a much better relative value on DK.
The betting line with the Bengals has the game total at 50.5 points with the Browns as -3.5 point road favorites. The Browns’ implied team total is currently at 27 points and the Bengals are currently at 23.5 points.
The Browns’ defense logged 2 sacks, and gave up 32 offensive points at Pittsburgh last week.
The Colts registered 2 sacks, 1 interception, and gave up 31 points to the Bengals last week.
The Browns’ defense ranks 19th in adjusted sack rate vs. the Bengals’ offense which ranks 31st. The Browns’ defense also ranks 1st (tied) in takeaways with 12.
The Bengals rank 30th in fantasy points allowed to opposing defenses.
The Browns’ DST gets a solid matchup and provides a reasonable DK value.
Los Angeles Chargers – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3400 (6.8% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 4500 (7.5% of cap). The Chargers’ salary ranks them 5th/5th on DK/FD, respectively.
The betting line with the Jaguars has the game total at 49.5 points with the Chargers as -8 point home favorites. The Chargers’ implied team total is currently at 28.75 points and the Jaguars are currently at 20.75 points. The Chargers are coming off their bye.
The Chargers’ defense logged 2 sacks, 1 interception, and gave up 30 points at New Orleans in Week 5.
The Lions’ defense recorded 1 sack, 1 interception, 1 fumble recovery, and allowed 16 points at Jacksonville last week.
The Chargers’ defense ranks 25th in adjusted sack rate vs. a Jaguars’ offense which ranks 23rd. The Jaguars rank 22nd vs. opposing defenses in fantasy points allowed, and also give up the 8th (tied) most turnovers (9).
The Chargers’ defense get back DE Melvin Engram from IR this week, which should help boost their pass rush.
