NFL Best Bets – Week 4
All game lines are from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
This will be updated throughout the week as new plays are posted.
On Sept. 28, 2021:
The Line: Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers -3 – Sunday, 4:05 PM (ET)
The Pick: Seahawks +3 (-115)
The 49ers are 3-13-3 ATS as a home favorite under HC Kyle Shanahan. The Seahawks are 9-3 ATS in their previous 12 games as a road dog. Russell Wilson has a 65% cover rate ATS as a road dog when coming off a loss. It would not be surprising to see this line tighten as the weekend approaches.
On Sept. 29, 2021:
The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7 at New England Patriots – Sunday, 8:20 PM (ET)
The Pick: Buccaneers -7 (-105)
Currently, 97% of the tickets and money are on the Bucs. This game is expected to be the largest betting volume game of the regular season, and will likely get chalked up higher by the public as Sunday night approaches. Tom Brady with the Bucs last season are 5-0 ATS following a loss.
On Oct. 1, 2021:
The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers -6.5 – Sunday, 4:25 PM (ET)
The Pick: Packers -6.5 (-105)
The Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their previous 8 games following a loss. The Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
The Packers’ defense get the edge in D-line vs. a Steeler’s O-line matchup. The Packers’ defense ranks 8th in QB hits vs. a Steelers’ O-line which ranks 29th (tied). The Packers’ defense should get their opportunities to send a washed Roethlisberger one game closer to retirement.
Davante Adams also presents a mismatch problem for the Steelers.
The Line: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams -4 – Sunday, 4:05 PM (ET)
The Pick: Rams -4 (-115)
The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against NFC West teams, and 0-8 ATS in their last eight games against the Rams. The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their previous five home games.
The Rams are +100 to win the division vs. the Cardinals at +450. The matchup advantages should be enough to cover.
Scorecard: NFL Best Bets
Last Week: 2-1
Cumulative: 7-5
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