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NFL Week 6 DFS Defense Value Picks

NFL Week 6: October 18 – 19, 2020

We’ll provide some details and insights on some of the potential top daily fantasy defense/special team value plays for week 6.

Salary ranks are based on the main-slate Sunday only.

Betting lines are as of the time of this writing.

Updates will be made as new info comes to light.


Defense


Miami Dolphins – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 2900 (5.8% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 4400 (7.3% of cap). The Dolphins’ salary ranks them 12th/6th on DK/FD, respectively, making them a better relative value on DK.

The betting line with the Jets has the game total at 47.5 points with the Dolphins as -8.5 point (widest spread on the board) home favorites. The Dolphins’ implied team total is currently at 28 points and the Jets are currently at 19.5 points.

The Dolphins’ defense logged 5 sacks, 2 interceptions, 1 fumble recovery, and held the 49ers to 17 points at San Francisco last week, good for the DST3 finish.

The Cardinals registered 3 sacks, and held the Jets to 17 points at New York last week.

The Dolphins’ defense ranks 9th in adjusted sack rate vs. the Jets’ offense which ranks 23rd. The Dolphins’ defense also ranks 6th (tied) in takeaways with 8.

The Jets offense ranks last in points (19/gm), and 31st in total yards (279.4/gm.). The Jets also rank last in fantasy points allowed to defenses.

The Dolphins’ defense sits in a nice spot as a two-score, home favorite against an Adam Gase clown-show.

UPDATE:
QB Sam Darnold (AC Joint) has been ruled out.

Washington Football Team – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3300 (6.6% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 4600 (7.7% of cap). Washington’s salary ranks them 8th/4th on DK/FD, respectively.

The betting line with the Giants has the game total at 43 points (lowest on the board), with Washington as +3 point road dogs. Washington’s implied team total is currently at 20 points and the Giants are currently at 23 points.

Washington’s defense registered 1 sack, 1 interception, and gave up 28 offensive points to the Rams last week.

The Cowboys’ defense logged 2 sacks, 1 fumble recovery returned for a TD, and allowed 25 points to the Giants last week.

Washington’s defense ranks 2nd in adjusted sack rate vs. a Giants’ offense which ranks 20th.

The Giants rank 31st vs. defenses in fantasy points allowed, 31st in points scored (16.2/gm), and 30th in total yards (282.4). The Giants also cough up the 3rd (tied) most turnovers (9).

This game has the makings of an ugly, defensive matchup. And on the flip-side, there’s also…

New York Giants – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3200 (6.4% of cap), FanDuel (FD) – 3900 (6.5% of cap). The Giants’ salary ranks them 9th/12th on DK/FD, respectively.

The Giants’ defense logged 2 sacks, 1 fumble recovery, 1 interceptions returned for a TD, and allowed 28 offensive points to the Cowboys last week, good for a DST5 (tied) finish.

The Rams’ defense delivered 8 sacks, and held Washington to 10 points last week.

The Giants’ defense ranks 11th in adjusted sack rate vs. a Washington offense which ranks 31st. Washington ranks 27th vs. defenses in fantasy points allowed, last in total yards (263/gm.), and 30th in points scored (17.8). Washington also gives up the 5th (tied) most turnovers (8).

The Giants’ defense is likely to face QB Kyle Allen, making his second start of the season.