across the board have little appeal, with maybe an exception for TE Travis Kelce. This game has an over/under currently at 42 with Kansas City as -3 favorites in what projects to be a defensive battle as both defenses are the true strengths of their respective teams. Denver travels to Kansas City on a short week after squeaking by Baltimore last week, but the Chiefs do have more talent on offense than the Ravens.
Most of the offensive positions in this game seem to be over priced, low ceiling plays compared to similarly priced counterparts. For example, Peyton Manning averaged 4.4 yards/attempt last week, ranking him 32 out of 33 QBs, ahead of only Joe Flacco. Manning attempted 4 passes of at least 20 yards and wasn’t close to completing any of them. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders won’t threaten deep as Manning is becoming more of an Alex Smith clone, without a TE like Kelce.
This should be a good defensive game, but that’s about it.
Houston @ Carolina:
This defensive game has the lowest total on the board at 40 with Carolina currently 3 point favorites. Carolina’s defense would make for a nice play and Houston’s defense wouldn’t be bad either. On the offensive side of the ball, outside of DeAndre Hopkins, there just doesn’t seem like there’s a plausible play anywhere here. TE Greg Olsen should end up with more than last week’s 1 catch for 11 yards, but it’s also hard to imagine Houston giving up another Kelce stat line again.
New England is on the road in Buffalo currently as -1 point favorites with a game total at 44.5. Can’t recall a spread this close between New England and Buffalo. Rex Ryan is very familiar with the Patriots but this time around, he may have the best defense he’s ever had. The Bills man-handled the Colts last week, and that was without Marcell Dareus, who returns from suspension.
Brady’s DraftKings price ranks him 4th and 10th on FanDuel. There are lower priced QBs on both sites that offer higher floors and ceilings, especially on DraftKings. There’s not much upside with much better plays elsewhere.
New Orleans hosts Tampa Bay, where the Saints are currently -10 point favorites with a game total at 47. Martin suffers from the same game flow script he did last week in putting up 6.4 points. The Saints conceivably could go up early and often, keeping Martin out of the game plan like last week when the Bucs were blown out earily by Tennessee. Martin ended up with 12 total touches, and more of the same is probable here.
Martin’s DraftKings cost is ridiculously priced at 13th highest and 22nd on FanDuel. He is a recommended fade on both sites this week.
The Raiders are +6 underdogs at home with a low game total at 43. Even with Carr starting with a sore thumb, Cooper will be matched up against Jimmy Smith and the rest of Baltimore’s brutal defense. Pro Football Focus gave the 3rd highest pass coverage grade and 5th highest pass rush grade to the Ravens last week, and that was against Denver.
Although he will be Carr’s top target, the ceiling looks very low for his 17th/21st highest salary price on DraftKings/FanDuel respectively.
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