NFL Best Bets – Week 6
All game lines are from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
This will be updated throughout the week as new plays are posted.
On October 13, 2021:
The Line: Green Bay Packers -4.5 at Chicago Bears – Sunday, 4:25 PM (ET)
The Pick: Packers -4.5 (-110)
The Packers are 20-7 ATS vs. the Bears in their past 27 games, and are also 17-5 ATS in their past 22 games in Chicago. Aaron Rodgers has historically owned the Bears.
The Bears’ offense ranks last in yards/gm., 30th in points/gm., and 31st in overall and pass offense DVOA. Justin Fields and company will have a hard time in comeback mode if/when they fall behind.
On October 14, 2021:
The Line: Minnesota Vikings -2.5 at Carolina Panthers – Sunday, 1:00 PM (ET)
The Pick: Panthers +2.5 (-110)
The Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 overall. The Panthers are 9-3 ATS in their previous 12 games as a dog.
The Panthers, on the season, average .4 more points scored than the Vikings, but also have a 4.4 less points allowed edge over the Vikings.
The Line: Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots Over/Under – 50.5 – Sunday, 4:25 PM (ET)
The Pick: Under 50.5 (-110)
The under is 6-0 in the Patriots’ last 6 games as a dog, as well as against teams with a winning record. The under is also 11-2 in the Patriots’ last 13 games, and 8-1 in their last 9. The under is 4-0 in the Cowboys’ last 4 games as a road favorite.
The Patriots’ defense ranks 5th in points allowed (18.4) and the Cowboys’ defense ranks 14th (23.4). The Patriots’ offense ranks 26th in points scored (19.2). The Cowboys’ defense ranks 6th in overall DVOA and the Patriots’ defense ranks 9th. Effective defense overall should keep the total down.
On October 15, 2021:
The Line: Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns -3 – Sunday, 4:05 PM (ET)
The Pick: Browns -3 (-110)
The Cardinals are 1-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their past six games following an ATS loss.
The wind in Cleveland is currently expected to be around the 20 mph range. The worse the wind gets, the better scenario for the Browns. Cardinals’ HC Kingsbury (COVID) tested positive and is out for this Sunday.
Scorecard: NFL Best Bets
Last Week: 2-2
Cumulative: 11-9
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