Quarterback:
Romo makes his return against Miami, who is ranked 26th in DvP. The spread has this game as a pick ’em with a total at 47 points. Romo’s salary for week 11 is ranked 6th/10th on FD/DK, respectively, making him a better value on DraftKings.
Look for Romo to pick up where he left off, heavily targeting Bryant and Witten against a weak Miami secondary.
Osweiler takes over for the injured Peyton Manning, with a matchup against Chicago who ranks 15th in DvP. The spread currently has Chicago as a -1 favorite with a game total at 41.5. Osweiler’s salary ranks bottom-barreled on DK and 29th on FD, making him a better value on DraftKings.
With Denver’s run game largely ineffective, Osweiler has an opportunity to make Demaryius Thomas and Manny Sanders relevant again, in what is projected to be a tight game.
Running Back:
West put up impressive lines of 24-69-1 on the ground and 3-92-1 in the air against Denver in week 10. West faces San Diego who rank dead-last in DvP. West price per point ranked him 3rd on both DK and FD in week 10.
The spread has KC currently as -3 favorites with a game total at 44.5, so a friendly game script for West is projected. West’s salary ranks him 11th/23rd on FD/DK, respectively, making him a much better value on DraftKings.
West has averaged 25.7 points per game the past three games since taking over for the injured Jamaal Charles, and still remains as one of the best values at any position with a solid matchup this week.
McFadden posted lines of 17-32-0 (rush) and 3-26-0 (receiving) last week against Tampa Bay. This week however, McFadden will face Miami, who rank 31st in DvP. The return of Romo should help McFadden’s prospects overall as well. Vegas has the spread as a pick ’em with a total at 47, which projects as a positive game script for McFadden.
McFadden’s salary ranks him 14th/16th on FD/DK respectively. McFadden should be a safe-floor play in this week’s matchup.
Wide Receiver:
Crabtree put up a sub-par 4-55-0 line against Minnesota last week, but gets a bounce-back type matchup against Detroit, who rank 20th in DvP. The spread has Oakland as -2 favorites with a game total at 48, second highest on the board.
Crabtree’s salary ranks 18th/23rd on DK/FD, respectively, making Crabtree a solid-floor value.
Floyd put up a line of 7-113-2 on 9 targets against Seattle. Floyd’s scoring ranked him 2nd on both DK and FD. His price per point efficiency ranked him 1st on both sites as well.
Arizona is a -4 favorite against Cincinnati with a game total at 47.5. Cincinnati ranks 7th in DvP and 4th overall. Floyd’s salary ranks him 24th/46th on FD and DK, respectively, making him a much better value on DraftKings. Despite the tough matchup, Palmer and company air it deep against any defense, and are nearly matchup proof. Floyd offers a safe-floor/high-ceiling play at a cheap cost, but is dealing with a hamstring issue which forced him out of the Seattle game. His progress should be monitored throughout the week.
Amendola registered a line of 10-79-0 on 11 targets (team high) against the Giants. Amendola’s scoring ranked him 13th/17th on DK/FD, respectively. His price per point efficiency ranked him 9th/10th on DK/FD.
New England hosts Buffalo as -7 favorites with the highest game total at 48.5. The Bills are ranked 22nd in DvP and 17th overall. Amendola’s salary ranks 29th/41nd on FD/DK making him a better value on DraftKings.
With Edelman breaking his foot last week in the first half, Amendola came in to fill the slot role. Amendola’s targets should remain high as he may now be the second option behind only Gronkowski. At his current salary rank and potential workload against a suspect Bills secondary, Amendola’s value return should be safe.
Tight End:
Atlanta comes off its bye week hosting Indianapolis as -6 favorites with a game total at 47.5 (2nd highest on the board). Indianapolis gives up the 9th most points in DvP.
Tamme ranks 3rd on the team in targets and receptions and 2nd in receiving yards. Tamme’s salary ranks him 12th on both DK and FD. Tamme’s role should continue to be substantially involved, especially with Leonard Hankerson less than 100%.
Kicker:
Catanzaro is coming off a solid 15 point game and is priced mid-tier for week 11. Catanzaro will be kicking at home against Cincinnati as -5 favorites with a game total at 48 (2nd highest on the board). A potential high-scoring affair and positive game script should have Catanzaro knocking in a few.
Defense:
The Jets face Houston which ranks 21st in DvP. The Jets are favored by -2.5 with a game total at 44.5. The Jets salary ranks them 8th/10th on FD/DK, respectively, making them a reasonably priced play with a favorable matchup for week 11. The Jets’ only concern against Houston would be DeAndre Hopkins, which rank the Jets a middling 16th in DvP against him.
Check out the Week 11 schedule with spreads/totals/byes here.
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