NFL Best Bets – Week 11
All game lines are from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
This will be updated throughout the week as new plays are posted.
On November 18, 2021:
The Line: New England Patriots -6.5 at Atlanta Falcons – Thursday, 8:20 PM (ET)
The Pick: Patriots -6.5 (-120)
RB Cordarelle Patterson (ankle) will be a game-time decision. Even if he goes, the Falcons’ hobbled top offensive weapon could see a snap count. The Patriots own mismatch advantages across the board. Patriots’ RB Damien Harris (concussion) has been removed from the injury report.
The Line: Green Bay Packers -1.5 at Minnesota Vikings – Sunday, 1:00 PM (ET)
The Pick: Packers -1.5 (-110)
The Packers are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games and the Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their previous eight home games. Packers HC LaFleur is 10-4 ATS against divisional foes.
The Packers and Vikings both yield a defensive EPA/play at -.012 (rank 8th/9th), but the Packers rank 7th vs. the Vikings who rank 17th in offensive EPA/play.
The Line: New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles -2 – Sunday, 1:00 PM (ET)
The Pick: Saints +2 (-110)
The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. The Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
The Eagles rank 2nd in rushing play % (47.85%) on the season but lead the league by a wide margin over the past three games at 68.31%. However, the Saints rank 1st in rush defense DVOA and 2nd in rush defense EPA. Were the Eagles’ game-plan to stall, the Saints should gain the edge.
Scorecard: NFL Best Bets
Last Week: 1-2
Cumulative: 19-22
Legend:
ATS = Against the spread
SU = Straight up
O/U = Over/Under
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