NFL Week 1: September 10th – 14th, 2017
We’ll provide some details and insights on some potential daily fantasy defense/special team value plays for week 1.
Vegas lines are as of the time of this writing.
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Defense
Jacksonville Jaguars – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3700, FanDuel (FD) – 4100. Jacksonville’s salary ranks them 3rd/28th on DK/FD, respectively, making the Jags a much better relative value on FanDuel.
The Vegas line currently has the game total with the Texans at 40 points (lowest on the board) with the Jaguars as +5 point road dogs.
Jacksonville was essentially a top 12 defense in most metrics last season, further bolstered by the acquisitions of Calais Campbell and A.J. Bouye in the offseason.
Blake Bortles has been named the starter however, so Jacksonville is at risk for constant bad field position against the Tom Savage led Texans. This game projects as a defensive, ground and pound matchup, and due to pricing, the Jags should turn out to be a popular play on FanDuel.
Los Angeles Chargers – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3000, FanDuel (FD) – 4200. Los Angeles’ salary ranks them 12th/25th on DK/FD, respectively, making the Chargers a better relative value on FanDuel.
The Vegas line currently has the game total with the Broncos at 43.5 points (4th lowest on the board) with the Chargers as +3.5 point road dogs on Monday night.
The return of Keenan Allen should definitely help the Chargers keep Trevor Siemian in play, in what should be a tight game. The Chargers ranked 2nd in interceptions (21) and 13th in sacks last season, and Denver’s offense offers nothing scary. For the price on FanDuel, the Chargers are a solid full-slate play.
Los Angeles Rams – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3200, FanDuel (FD) – 4600. Los Angeles’ salary ranks them 10th/8th on DK/FD, respectively.
The Vegas line currently has the game total with the Colts at 47 points with the Rams as -3 point home favorites.
The Rams are in play if Andrew Luck misses week 1. This play becomes even more attractive if Aaron Donald ends his holdout and returns in time to suit up.
Update: Andrew Luck has been ruled out and Scott Tolzien will get the start.
Atlanta Falcons – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3300, FanDuel (FD) – 4700. Atlanta’s salary ranks them 9th/5th on DK/FD, respectively.
The Vegas line currently has the game total with the Bears at 50.5 points with the Falcons as -7 point road favorites.
Since salaries were released, the Bears suffered a big blow by losing their WR1 Cameron Meredith (knee) for the season. The NFC champs also added first-round pick Tak McKinley to their ranks. Anticipating a lead, the Falcons defense should get their opportunity to pin their ears back and attack Mike Glennon.
Check out the Week 1 DFS value player picks here.
Check out the Week 1 schedule with Vegas spreads/totals here.
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