NFL Week 5: October 5 – 9, 2017
We’ll provide some details and insights on some of the potential top daily fantasy defense/special team value plays for week 5.
Salary ranks are based on the full slate.
Vegas lines are as of the time of this writing.
Defense
Buffalo Bills – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 2600, FanDuel (FD) – 4600. Buffalo’s salary ranks them 21st/8th on DK/FD, respectively, making them a much better relative value on DK.
The Vegas line with the Bengals has the game total at 38.5 points (lowest on the board) with the Bills as +3 point road dogs. The Bengals’ implied team total is currently at 20.75 points and the Bills are currently at 17.75 points.
Cleveland recorded 3 sacks and a fumble recovery at Cincinnati last week. Andy Dalton has taken the 4th most sacks (14) through four weeks. Cincinnati ranks 29th DVP against defenses. Cincinnati is also ranked as the 6th lowest scoring offense (16.0 points/gm) and 6th lowest in yards/gm (291.8).
Buffalo logged 1 sack, 2 interceptions, 1 fumble recovery, 1 defensive TD, and held the Falcons to 17 points in Atlanta. Buffalo’s 7 takeaways ranks them in the top 10 and their 11 sacks has them in the top half of the league. Buffalo’s defense is currently the 5th ranked (tied) defense in fantasy points through four weeks.
Philadelphia Eagles – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 3100, FanDuel (FD) – 4600. Philadelphia’s salary ranks them 7th/8th on DK/FD, respectively.
The Vegas line with the Cardinals has the game total at 45 points with the Eagles as -6.5 point home favorites. The Cardinals’ implied team total is currently at 19.25 points and the Eagles are currently at 25.75 points.
San Francisco registered 6 sacks, 1 interception, and held the Cardinals to 18 points in Arizona last week. Arizona is tied for the league lead in sacks given up (17) and Carson Palmer is tied for 3rd in most interceptions thrown (5). Arizona ranks 26th DVP against defenses.
Philadelphia logged 2 sacks and a fumble recovery against the Chargers in Los Angeles last week. Philadelphia’s 7 takeaways ranks them in the top 10 and their 10 sacks has them in the middling tier.
Carson Palmer may be in line for a long, painful afternoon.
San Francisco 49ers – Salaries: DraftKings (DK) – 2600, FanDuel (FD) – 4200. San Francisco’s salary ranks them 21st/24th on DK/FD, respectively.
The Vegas line with the Colts has the game total at 44 points with the Niners as +1.5 point road dogs. The Colts’ implied team total is currently at 22.75 points and the Niners are currently at 21.25 points.
Seattle racked up 3 sacks, a pick, one fumble recovery, two TDs, and held the Colts to 16 points last week.
The Colts rank last in DVP against defenses. The Colts also rank in the bottom-third with 7 giveaways and 5th (tied) worst in sacks allowed with 14.
San Francisco’s 9 fantasy points at Arizona last week ranked them 9th for the week (tied with Denver and Kansas City).
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