NFL Player Prop Bets – Week 6
All Player Prop lines are from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
This will be updated throughout the week as new props are posted.
On October 14, 2021:
The Play: Mac Jones (NE) Pass + Rush Yards
The Line: 277.5 Pass + Rush Yards
The Pick: Under (-120)
Pace and opportunity should hamper Jones’ yards ceiling. The Patriots rank 14th in situation neutral pace, 23rd when the point differential is within 6 (where the spread lies), and 15th when trailing by at least 7. The Cowboys still maintain a high pace, despite successfully running more this year.
The Play: James Robinson (JAX) Rush Yards
The Line: 75.5 Rush Yards
The Pick: Under (-120)
Robinson faces a negative script against the Dolphins, which shouldn’t hurt his total yardage ceiling, but does not help his rush ceiling. His 5.8 season avg. should regress.
The Play: Carson Wentz (IND) Pass Yards
The Line: 233.5 Pass Yards
The Pick: Over (-125)
The Texans have given up 257 pass yards/gm. against light passing competition, sans Josh Allen. Wentz should be able to come close to the avg.
On October 15, 2021:
The Play: Alex Collins (SEA) Rush Yards
The Line: 65.5 Rush Yards
The Pick: Under (-130)
Collins gets the start again for Chris Carson (neck), after logging 47 rush yards (3.1 avg.) last week. DeeJay Dallas and Travis Homer will also see 35% of the snaps or more. The Steelers are home favorites and rank 9th in rush yards allowed, 9th in defense adjusted line yards, and 6th in rush defense DVOA.
The Play: Geno Smith (SEA) Pass Yards
The Line: 229.5 Pass Yards
The Pick: Under (-120)
Perhaps the worst QB start this week, Geno should have issues against a Steelers’ defense adequate enough to bring them.
Scorecard: NFL Player Props
Last Week: 3-5
Cumulative: 18-17-1
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